Blockade things: this week it will snow where you least expect it
We enter the final stretch of the month of February with no prospect of a radical turnaround in the weather situation. Even if a hoax was spread stating that today there would be a heavy snowfall similar to the one left by Filomena according to the cabañuelas, a method without any scientific basis, the panorama could not be more different: the anticyclonic blockade continues, and it seems that it will accompany us for a few more days.
Rainfall will continue in the southeast, and will return to the Canary archipelago
The week has started with few changes compared to the previous days. The easterly flow and the presence of some cold air in height is leaving a gray panorama in the Valencian Community, the Region of Murcia, Almería and in the south of Andalusia, with weak rainfall in general, which will occasionally be strong around the Strait, where the easterly wind will also intensify in the coming days. The snow level will range between 1,500-1,800 meters in the southeast.
A stable environment is expected in the rest of the country, with daytime temperatures that will not change much. The haze will gradually withdraw from the southwest. In the Canary Islands they will have some irregular showers, which could be in the form of snow on Mount Teide and on the summits of La Palma.
Tomorrow the situation will be very similar, with cloudy skies and rainfall in the southeast and around the Strait, without ruling out that locally they fall with some intensity. The snow level will be around 1,300-1,600 meters. Some scattered showers in the Central System are not ruled out. It will freeze again in almost the entire interior, with records that will be around -5 ºC in Teruel, Vitoria or Soria. Some showers will fall in the Canary Islands, especially in the central and western islands, which would be in the form of snow on the summits of La Palma and on Mount Teide.
Anticyclonic environment in almost the entire country, and snow… in the Canary Islands!
According to our reference model, the IFS HRES, between tomorrow and Wednesday a pocket of cold air will be taken down that will be located in the vicinity of the Canary archipelago, where instability will increase on Wednesday, with locally intense downpours that will be in the form of snow in the highest areas.
As for the rest, on Wednesday the rainfall will tend to concentrate in Ceuta, Andalusia, the Region of Murcia and the south of the Valencian Community, with snow over 1400 meters. In the interior of the peninsula, some fog could form, and temperatures will rise, with values that will touch 20 ºC in the Guadalquivir valley, although in Teruel they could still drop to -6 ºC. Cloudy skies will prevail.
On Thursday the showers will continue in the southeast, mainly in the Region of Murcia and in the east of Andalusia. Nor are drizzles ruled out on the Cantabrian slope. In the rest of the territory, the stable environment will continue with frost inside. In the Canary Islands the downpours will be repeated on the islands with the greatest relief, with snow on the palm-lined peaks and on Mount Teide.
Change of weather in sight with the arrival of February?
According to the European model, during the final stretch of the week the anticyclonic weather will prevail in the Peninsula and the Balearic Islands, with some scattered rains in Andalusia. In the Canary Islands little by little the situation will tend to stabilize, although it seems that Teide could receive more snow.
The long-term forecasts of the ECMWF anticipate that high pressures could be with us at least until the first days of February.
Although for the dates in which we are it is usual to have some rain or snow storm, the maps indicate that the high pressures could remain during the first days of February. These anticyclonic blocks can last for weeks or months, although we hope that this last scenario will not occur, since the drought is worrying in some regions of the center and the western half.