January 18, 2022 10:46 pm

Conflicts of an opposition without leadership

The dilemma of not being part of the problem or paying the costs of the solution runs through the entire opposition, starting with Together for Change. It is the stocks in which the exchange-rate coalition was embretado by three events that happened and precipitated in the last two weeks, added to the critical economic situation of the country.

The result of the legislative elections, in the first place; the letter of Cristina KirchnerThen, and finally, the internal disputes that unleashed the electoral process that began with the PASO put the changemakers in the narrow gorge through which they travel with difficulty and stumbling blocks these days. Meanwhile, citizens look at them with both expectation and distrust.

The first steps were neither promising nor reassuring for a society in which the public fights of its leaders tend to deepen its anguish and irritation. Recent events fueled the fear that opponents who received nearly 42% of the vote will compound the problems rather than be part of the solution.

In this context, Cristina Kirchner, with her last multipurpose epistle, sought to take advantage of the differences between the opponents regarding the present and the past to pierce her image and complicate her internal relations. Management failure Mauricio Macri In the economic sphere, it is part of an unresolved debate for the different forces of Together for Change that revives with the ongoing negotiation of the unpayable debt contracted in 2018 with the IMF. The problem is that it is not a question for historians, but a subject with too much current in which they must make decisions that will impact the whole of society, in the very short and very long term.

Opinion note

The vice president, with her qualities of an expert set designer (more than an Egyptian architect), created the stage to advance the problem to the opposition, before even any detail of the agreement that his government tries to close urgently with the multilateral organization is known, after months of delays that now lead to it. to stagger before an abyss that could be avoided. When there is still no consensus in the ruling party on the consequences of an arrangement, Cristina put the ball in the opponent’s half. A veritable smokescreen that, at the same time, served to blur the scandalous dismissal that benefited her in the main cause for open corruption against her, just when the oral trial should begin. Double damage. Double success. More than a black friday, it was a black weekend for opponents.

The facts that show the opposition complications are eloquent and do not hide them, but perhaps aggravate their significance, the problems, the errors and the weaknesses of the Government. On Pro, the fight for leadership under discussion and construction with a view to 2023 did not respect even the holidays (or mourning) that should follow the elections with a certain calm. Despite the self-imposed vote of silence and mediation Horacio Rodríguez Larreta in his capacity as the sole ruler of space and holder of the best public image of the yellow current. His influence, authority, and leadership are still developing.

In the UCR the disputes over the national leadership of the party and for him distribution of power in Congress with discussions and disqualifications in public, typical of the lovers of the inmates that abound in the centennial party. And, as if nothing were missing, a week ago the spectacular (it is literal) reappearance of Elisa Carrió with his usual histrionics and self-confidence to pierce the entire coalition with the blaze of his oratory and his pointing finger. One more time, Carrió appears mirrored in Cristina Kirchner in aptitude to occupy the center of the scene, to administer rewards and punishments at her discretion, and to preserve spaces of power for her and hers. Coincidences and causalities aside, the act for the 20 years of the Civic Coalition took place just a few hours before the appearance of the epistle of the former president to the Argentines. It made so much noise that a little changer damaged by Carrió’s darts chose to draw a hurtful resemblance: “Some Peronists say that Cristina has more than power to harm her to have the power to extort money from the system. We could say something similar about Lilita, saving the enormous distances between the two ”. Return of courtesies.

In normal times, these episodes would only be the usual manifestations, only slightly extreme, of the rearrangements required by any electoral process in which the dominant structures up to that moment are called into question. It occurs throughout the democratic world. But in few politically stable countries (like Argentina) there are as many economic and social urgencies to be resolved as in Argentina. National exceptionality tends to aggravate everything.

If it wasn’t for the judge Martín Bava, with his controversial prosecution for illegal espionage, perhaps the only one he would have held these days would be Mauricio Macri. In this turbulent panorama that the opposition is going through, those who have been most exposed are those who dispute the leadership of the party that he created.

Paradoxically, too, the questioned judge of Dolores returned the centrality to the former president and made him a victimized pledge of party union, with the defense that almost the entire leadership of the coalition expressed to him. A poisoned gift that non-macrist changelings could not avoid, although they would have preferred it. The only positive for them is that a more or less prosecution has almost no reputational damage and little changes the opinion of a polarized and anesthetized society. succession of scandals emanating from the courts for too long. The credibility of the judges creeps through the fifth basement. AND almost nobody expects the truth to come out of Justice. Grave.

The coincidence to which the main referents of Juntos por el Cambio were forced to reject the ruling against Macri can thus be considered a ephemeral parenthesis amid internal disputes and dissidence that shake them.

Despite the fact that there is no change that does not draw a worrying panorama on the socioeconomic situation and the perspectives for the coming months oscillate between pessimism and apocalypse, they cannot, do not want or do not know how to avoid entertaining themselves with minor issues for society, but older for them. This is the case of disputes over the leadership of the blocks in the Senate and the Chamber of Deputies. The cordovan Mario Negri He is not willing to resign his leadership in the Lower House block and already has the number to preserve the place, despite the renovating attempts of the Buenos Aires radicalism, led by the nosiglista Emiliano Yacobitti, which confronts the veteran deputy with the resounding defeat suffered in the PASO of Córdoba. When there is only one week left for the assumption of the new deputies, radicals are torn between agreeing a truce with exchange of favors or breaking. In the Senate there is already an advance: the two new opposition senators for Chubut announced that they will set up their own block, although they will join the interblock exchange. Divisions and subdivisions. The same could happen in Deputies.

Perhaps those disputes should be seen as entertainments before the fatigue that other more real storms will bring. Around the corner from the Palace of Congress they await the debate on the budget and, above all, the eventual agreement with the IMF. High risk challenge for the opposing unit. Cristina Kirchner already anticipated it. Then we will have to see how the next two months are going. The business, union and social movement leadership, which rubs shoulders with tangible reality, agrees that they do not expect severe turbulence for this December, unlike the (very intense) that, they fear, would come closer to March. Paradoxically, the hottest days could be registered around the end of summer.

The economy is not the only object of unrest. The growing cases of insecurity and violence add pressure to an overly fragile situation that cuts across all sectors, but reveals the middle and lower classes. The increase in criminal acts linked to gangs dedicated to the sale and distribution of drugs has on alert to referents of the suburban and not only in the most disadvantaged and traditionally insecure areas. It is perceived by public opinion consultants as much as it is admitted by pro-government politicians and opponents with territorial roots.

For one opposition that still does not define its leadership, the challenges did not end with the elections from which they emerged triumphant, although without taking a blank check. Citizens increasingly punish more than they reward with their vote and examine whether it will be part of the problem or the solution. The leadership must evaluate the cost it is willing to pay. What is certain is that she will not be able to remain entertained much longer with problems that society cares too little for.


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